Orix Buffaloes

4 - 3

Nippon Ham Fighters

Fortress: Orix Buffaloes Wins 5th Straight at Home.

Fri, May 8, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.54 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 65%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Orix Buffaloes (Fact Index 1.54): Expected Win % is 65%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 2.86): Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 3.5 (Model A.)
Orix Buffaloes : 64% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 36% (▲ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Orix Buffaloes | 0.636 | 0.528 | ▼ 0.108
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.457 | 0.534 | ▲ 0.077
H | Orix Buffaloes | 0.882 | 0.755 | ▼ 0.127
A | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.333 | 0.437 | ▲ 0.104
P | Orix Buffaloes | 0.667 | 0.610 | ▼ 0.057
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.500 | 0.722 | ▲ 0.222
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.9 - 3.1 (Model B.4)
Orix Buffaloes : 59% (▼ 6%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 41% (▲ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.1 - 1.7
Orix Buffaloes : 45% (▼ 20%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 55% (▲ 20%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%

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