Inter-League

Baltimore Orioles

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Milwaukee Brewers

Fortress Crumbles: Baltimore Orioles Lose 3rd Straight at Home. Meanwhile, Milwaukee Brewers are riding a wave of 3 consecutive wins.

Sun, Sep 20, 2026 23:20 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.70 - 1.59)
HOMETEAM: 37%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 63%

Weight: [Distant] (62.07)
Intensity: [Tilted] (37.93)

Baltimore Orioles (Fact Index 2.70):
Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 47% in this event.

Milwaukee Brewers (Fact Index 1.59):
Expected Win % is 63%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 53% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Baltimore Orioles:
T : 0.484 (0.481 / ▲0.003)
H : 0.468 (0.482 / ▼0.014)
A : 0.500 (0.479 / ▲0.021)
P : 0.500 (0.500 / -)

Milwaukee Brewers:
T : 0.626 (0.628 / ▼0.002)
H : 0.667 (0.699 / ▼0.032)
A : 0.584 (0.552 / ▲0.032)
P : 0.667 (0.561 / ▲0.106)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 64%
3%
Underdog : 33%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 64%
3%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 5.6 (Model A.)
Baltimore Orioles : 39% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 61% (▼ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 4.7 (Model B.4)
Baltimore Orioles : 43% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 57% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.7 - 1.5
Baltimore Orioles : 35% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 65% (▲ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 24 game(s)

HOME : 42%
D : 0%
AWAY : 58%

Based on Away team = 1.5 (65%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

Based on Away team = 1.5 (65%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%


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