Inter-League

Toronto Blue Jays

5 - 1

Cincinnati Reds

Sun, Sep 27, 2026 19:07 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Weight: [Close] (13.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (86.21)

Toronto Blue Jays (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 73% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 73% in this event.

Cincinnati Reds (Fact Index 2.04):
Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 27% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Toronto Blue Jays:
T : 0.481 (0.463 / ▲0.018)
H : 0.513 (0.455 / ▲0.058)
A : 0.451 (0.470 / ▼0.019)
P : 0.333 (0.439 / ▼0.106)

Cincinnati Reds:
T : 0.466 (0.407 / ▲0.059)
H : 0.469 (0.424 / ▲0.045)
A : 0.463 (0.392 / ▲0.071)
P : 0.500 (0.481 / ▲0.019)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 4.9 (Model A.)
Toronto Blue Jays : 54% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 46% (▼ 3%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 5.1 (Model B.4)
Toronto Blue Jays : 40% (▼ 11%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 60% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.4
Toronto Blue Jays : 61% (▲ 10%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 39% (▼ 10%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (61%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 3%
AWAY : 64%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (61%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%


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