Promotion

Cleveland Guardians

2 - 0

ALDS - Game 5, CLE wins series 3-2

Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians Make It 3 in a Row Against Chicago White Sox. Conversely, Chicago White Sox Stuck in 3 Competition Slump.

Sun, Oct 11, 2026 00:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 2.08)
HOMETEAM: 52%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 48%

Weight: [Adjacent] (0.00)
Intensity: [Extreme] (100.00)

Cleveland Guardians (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

Chicago White Sox (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cleveland Guardians:
T : 0.524 (0.511 / ▲0.013)
H : 0.494 (0.479 / ▲0.015)
A : 0.554 (0.544 / ▲0.010)
P : 0.500 (0.672 / ▼0.172)

Chicago White Sox:
T : 0.524 (0.534 / ▼0.010)
H : 0.578 (0.576 / ▲0.002)
A : 0.471 (0.493 / ▼0.022)
P : 0.667 (0.517 / ▲0.150)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
10%
Underdog : 30%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
10%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.3 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Cleveland Guardians : 49% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Chicago White Sox : 51% (▲ 3%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 5.1 (Model B.4)
Cleveland Guardians : 47% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Chicago White Sox : 53% (▲ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
Cleveland Guardians : 55% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Chicago White Sox : 44% (▼ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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