Hiroshima Carp

6 - 4

Hanshin Tigers

Home Sweet Home: Hiroshima Carp Secures 4th Consecutive Victory.

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 05:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 1.96)
HOMETEAM: 46%
3%
AWAYTEAM: 51%

Weight: [Distant] (63.64)
Intensity: [Tilted] (36.36)

Hiroshima Carp (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 73% in this event.

Hanshin Tigers (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 27% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Hiroshima Carp:
T : 0.434 (0.406 / ▲0.028)
H : 0.471 (0.393 / ▲0.078)
A : 0.394 (0.418 / ▼0.024)
P : 0.833 (0.706 / ▲0.127)

Hanshin Tigers:
T : 0.566 (0.582 / ▼0.016)
H : 0.522 (0.500 / ▲0.022)
A : 0.609 (0.636 / ▼0.027)
P : 0.800 (0.752 / ▲0.048)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 11 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 11 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 55%
0%
Underdog : 45%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 24 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 24 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 58%
0%
Underdog : 42%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.2 - 3.8 (Model A.)
Hiroshima Carp : 47% (▲ 1%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Hanshin Tigers : 53% (▲ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.0 - 3.4 (Model B.4)
Hiroshima Carp : 52% (▲ 6%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Hanshin Tigers : 48% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.5 - 1.5
Hiroshima Carp : 38% (▼ 8%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Hanshin Tigers : 62% (▲ 11%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 20 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Based on Away team = 1.5 (62%) Trend: 26 game(s)

HOME : 42%
D : 4%
AWAY : 54%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 3%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Away team = 1.5 (62%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 3%
AWAY : 50%


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