Inter-League

Philadelphia Phillies

1 - 12

Tampa Bay Rays

Fortress Crumbles: Philadelphia Phillies Lose 4th Straight at Home. Conversely, Tampa Bay Rays are riding a wave of 2 consecutive wins.

Sat, Sep 26, 2026 23:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 80%
D: 0%
Away: 20%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 53%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Weight: [Close] (20.69)
Intensity: [Fierce] (79.31)

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 1.89):
Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Philadelphia Phillies:
T : 0.538 (0.513 / ▲0.025)
H : 0.532 (0.525 / ▲0.007)
A : 0.543 (0.500 / ▲0.043)
P : 0.333 (0.323 / ▲0.010)

Tampa Bay Rays:
T : 0.606 (0.554 / ▲0.052)
H : 0.679 (0.567 / ▲0.112)
A : 0.532 (0.541 / ▼0.009)
P : 0.500 (0.500 / -)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
0%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
0%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.9 - 3.7 (Model A.)
Philadelphia Phillies : 51% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 49% (▲ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 3.9 (Model B.4)
Philadelphia Phillies : 49% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 51% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Philadelphia Phillies : 49% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 51% (▲ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy