Inter-League

Washington Nationals

15 - 2

Minnesota Twins

Wed, May 6, 2026 22:45 (UTC)

Facts

Washington Nationals :
M. Mikolas (SP, W, 1-3, 7.44) 5.1, 3H, 2R, 2ER, 3K, 1HR
M. Parker (H, 3, 3.38)
2B: Tena (4, Morris); Abrams 2 (6, Ober 2); Millas (3, Topa); House (5, Ober)
3B: Nuñez (1, Morris)
HR: Tena (2, 8th inning off Garcia 0 on, 2 Out); Abrams (9, 8th inning off Garcia 3 on, 1 Out); Millas (1, 5th inning off Ober 1 on, 0 Out); House (5, 7th inning off Topa 1 on, 2 Out)
RBI: Tena 2 (10), Abrams 5 (33), Millas 2 (5), Nuñez (13), House 3 (18), Wood 2 (27)
Minnesota Twins :
B. Ober (SP, L, 3-2, 4.19) 5.0, 6H, 5R, 5ER, 2BB, 3K, 1HR
2B: Keaschall (8, Mikolas)
HR: Wallner (4, 5th inning off Mikolas 0 on, 2 Out)
RBI: Wallner 2 (10)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.27 - 1.79)
HOMETEAM: 44%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 56%

Washington Nationals (Fact Index 2.27): Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Minnesota Twins (Fact Index 1.79): Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 63%
0%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 6.0 (Model A.)
Washington Nationals : 48% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 52% (▼ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Washington Nationals | 0.444 | 0.442 | ▼ 0.002
T | Minnesota Twins | 0.444 | 0.497 | ▲ 0.053
H | Washington Nationals | 0.235 | 0.319 | ▲ 0.084
A | Minnesota Twins | 0.375 | 0.482 | ▲ 0.107
P | Washington Nationals | 0.500 | 0.467 | ▼ 0.033
P | Minnesota Twins | 0.500 | 0.529 | ▲ 0.029
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 4.9 (Model B.4)
Washington Nationals : 43% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 57% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)

Average Odds : 2.1 - 1.7
Washington Nationals : 45% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 55% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Washington Nationals

Last 3:
MLB 2026-05-09 Miami Marlins 8 - 7 Washington Nationals
MLB 2026-05-08 Miami Marlins 2 - 3 Washington Nationals
MLB 2026-05-07 Washington Nationals 7 - 5 Minnesota Twins

Next 3:
MLB 2026-05-10 Miami Marlins - Washington Nationals
MLB 2026-05-12 Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals
MLB 2026-05-13 Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals

Last 20 games

HOME :

AWAY :

Minnesota Twins

Last 3:
MLB 2026-05-09 Cleveland Guardians 1 - 2 Minnesota Twins
MLB 2026-05-08 Cleveland Guardians 6 - 4 Minnesota Twins
MLB 2026-05-07 Washington Nationals 7 - 5 Minnesota Twins

Next 3:
MLB 2026-05-10 Cleveland Guardians - Minnesota Twins
MLB 2026-05-12 Minnesota Twins - Miami Marlins
MLB 2026-05-13 Minnesota Twins - Miami Marlins

Last 20 games

HOME :

AWAY :

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