Inter-League

Boston Red Sox

2 - 6

Chicago Cubs

Sun, Sep 27, 2026 19:05 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.85 - 2.17)
HOMETEAM: 54%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 46%

Weight: [Adjacent] (3.45)
Intensity: [Extreme] (96.55)

Boston Red Sox (Fact Index 1.85):
Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 43% in this event.

Chicago Cubs (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 57% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Boston Red Sox:
T : 0.540 (0.559 / ▼0.019)
H : 0.513 (0.550 / ▼0.037)
A : 0.568 (0.569 / ▼0.001)
P : 0.500 (0.417 / ▲0.083)

Chicago Cubs:
T : 0.547 (0.584 / ▼0.037)
H : 0.568 (0.572 / ▼0.004)
A : 0.525 (0.597 / ▼0.072)
P : 0.333 (0.475 / ▼0.142)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 3.2 (Model A.)
Boston Red Sox : 56% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 44% (▼ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.6 - 2.5 (Model B.4)
Boston Red Sox : 50% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 50% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.9
Boston Red Sox : 48% (▼ 6%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 52% (▲ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%


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