LA Dodgers

2 - 4

San Diego Padres

Fortress Crumbles: LA Dodgers Lose 2nd Straight at Home. Conversely, San Diego Padres seals their 2nd win on the bounce.

Fri, Sep 25, 2026 02:10 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.75 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 57%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Weight: [Close] (13.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (86.21)

LA Dodgers (Fact Index 1.75):
Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 60% in this event.

San Diego Padres (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 40% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

LA Dodgers:
T : 0.614 (0.628 / ▼0.014)
H : 0.638 (0.575 / ▲0.063)
A : 0.590 (0.678 / ▼0.088)
P : 0.833 (0.856 / ▼0.023)

San Diego Padres:
T : 0.557 (0.527 / ▲0.030)
H : 0.628 (0.558 / ▲0.070)
A : 0.488 (0.501 / ▼0.013)
P : 0.833 (0.728 / ▲0.105)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
0%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.9 - 4.3 (Model A.)
LA Dodgers : 60% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 40% (▼ 3%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.8 - 4.2 (Model B.4)
LA Dodgers : 56% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 44% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.4
LA Dodgers : 61% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 39% (▼ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (61%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 3%
AWAY : 64%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (61%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%


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