Pittsburgh Pirates

4 - 5

Milwaukee Brewers

Pittsburgh Pirates’s struggle continues: 5 straight losses to Milwaukee Brewers. Meanwhile, Milwaukee Brewers are riding a wave of 2 consecutive wins.

Wed, Sep 16, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 1.64)
HOMETEAM: 39%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 61%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (48.28)
Intensity: [Moderate] (51.72)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Fact Index 2.56):
Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 67% in this event.

Milwaukee Brewers (Fact Index 1.64):
Expected Win % is 61%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Pittsburgh Pirates:
T : 0.497 (0.514 / ▼0.017)
H : 0.521 (0.521 / -)
A : 0.474 (0.507 / ▼0.033)
P : 0.500 (0.291 / ▲0.209)

Milwaukee Brewers:
T : 0.623 (0.631 / ▼0.008)
H : 0.667 (0.699 / ▼0.032)
A : 0.575 (0.555 / ▲0.020)
P : 0.833 (0.822 / ▲0.011)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
0%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
0%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.3 - 5.4 (Model A.)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 44% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 56% (▼ 5%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.4 - 5.3 (Model B.4)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 24% (▼ 15%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 76% (▲ 15%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.1 - 1.7
Pittsburgh Pirates : 44% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 55% (▼ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 0%
AWAY : 70%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 0%
AWAY : 67%


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