San Diego Padres

7 - 6

Extra innings / 10

Miami Marlins

Defending the Turf: San Diego Padres Wins 6th in a Row. Meanwhile, Miami Marlins Reeling: 2nd Consecutive Loss.

Sun, Sep 20, 2026 00:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.67 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 60%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (34.48)
Intensity: [Fierce] (65.52)

San Diego Padres (Fact Index 1.67):
Expected Win % is 60%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Miami Marlins (Fact Index 2.50):
Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

San Diego Padres:
T : 0.552 (0.526 / ▲0.026)
H : 0.618 (0.553 / ▲0.065)
A : 0.487 (0.505 / ▼0.018)
P : 0.833 (0.701 / ▲0.132)

Miami Marlins:
T : 0.494 (0.501 / ▼0.007)
H : 0.577 (0.557 / ▲0.020)
A : 0.408 (0.450 / ▼0.042)
P : 0.667 (0.483 / ▲0.184)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
0%
Underdog : 53%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 4.6 (Model A.)
San Diego Padres : 56% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 44% (▲ 4%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
San Diego Padres : 80% (▲ 20%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 20% (▼ 20%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
San Diego Padres : 58% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 42% (▲ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%


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