Inter-League

Arizona Diamondbacks

5 - 3

New York Yankees

Sun, Sep 20, 2026 00:10 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 1.72)
HOMETEAM: 42%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 58%

Weight: [Close] (17.24)
Intensity: [Extreme] (82.76)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

New York Yankees (Fact Index 1.72):
Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Arizona Diamondbacks:
T : 0.519 (0.495 / ▲0.024)
H : 0.544 (0.513 / ▲0.031)
A : 0.493 (0.476 / ▲0.017)
P : 0.167 (0.295 / ▼0.128)

New York Yankees:
T : 0.582 (0.602 / ▼0.020)
H : 0.568 (0.579 / ▼0.011)
A : 0.595 (0.626 / ▼0.031)
P : 0.667 (0.659 / ▲0.008)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.1 - 4.9 (Model A.)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 41% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 59% (▲ 1%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 5.8 (Model B.4)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 36% (▼ 6%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 64% (▲ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 1.7
Arizona Diamondbacks : 44% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 57% (▼ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 6 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 20 game(s)

HOME : 45%
D : 0%
AWAY : 55%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%


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