Hanshin Tigers

2 - 3

Yakult Swallows

Wed, Apr 8, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

Hanshin Tigers :
Lucas Easton (SP, 4.66), 5.0, 5H, 6K, 1R, 1ER
Hayakawa Daiki (L, 0-1, 3.86) 1.0, 3H, 1K, 1BB, 2R, 2ER
2B: Sakamoto Seishiro
RBI: Sato Teruaki, Kinami Seiya
Yakult Swallows :
Matsumoto Kengo (SP, 3.00) 4.0, 5H, 5K, 4BB, 2R, 2ER
Hirosawa Yu (W, 2-0, 0.00) 1.0, 2K
H: Shimizu Noboru (0.00), Hoshi Tomoya (1.80), Liranzo Jesus (0.00)
Quijada Jose (4S, 0.00)
2B: Akahane Yoshihiro
3B: Nagaoka Hideki
RBI: Koga Yudai, Masuda Shu, Akahane Yoshihiro
【ハイライト】2026/4/8(水)阪神vsヤクルト(甲子園)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 10%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.04 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 49%
4%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Hanshin Tigers (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Yakult Swallows (Fact Index 2.13): Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 33%
0%
AWAY : 67%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Hanshin Tigers : 56% (▲ 7%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yakult Swallows : 44% (▼ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Hanshin Tigers | 0.700 | 0.691 | ▼ 0.009
T | Yakult Swallows | 0.778 | 0.642 | ▼ 0.136
H | Hanshin Tigers | 0.750 | 0.711 | ▼ 0.039
A | Yakult Swallows | 0.750 | 0.500 | ▼ 0.250
P | Hanshin Tigers | 0.667 | 0.640 | ▼ 0.027
P | Yakult Swallows | 0.667 | 0.597 | ▼ 0.070
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 3.5 (Model B.4)
Hanshin Tigers : 55% (▲ 6%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yakult Swallows : 45% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
Hanshin Tigers : 59% (▲ 10%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yakult Swallows : 41% (▼ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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