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Cincinnati Reds

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Kansas City Royals

Tue, Jun 2, 2026 23:10 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 2.08)
HOMETEAM: 52%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 48%

Cincinnati Reds (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Kansas City Royals (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 54%
3%
Underdog : 43%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 5.5 (Model A.)
Cincinnati Reds : 49% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 51% (▲ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Cincinnati Reds | 0.508 | 0.443 | ▼ 0.065
T | Kansas City Royals | 0.383 | 0.408 | ▲ 0.025
H | Cincinnati Reds | 0.500 | 0.411 | ▼ 0.089
A | Kansas City Royals | 0.286 | 0.325 | ▲ 0.039
P | Cincinnati Reds | 0.333 | 0.335 | ▲ 0.002
P | Kansas City Royals | 0.167 | 0.179 | ▲ 0.012
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 4.4 (Model B.4)
Cincinnati Reds : 55% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 45% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
Cincinnati Reds : 54% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 46% (▼ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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