Yakult Swallows

1 - 3

Chunichi Dragons

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 10%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.79 - 2.56)
HOMETEAM: 56%
5%
AWAYTEAM: 39%

Weight: [Close] (18.18)
Intensity: [Extreme] (81.82)

Yakult Swallows (Fact Index 1.79):
Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Chunichi Dragons (Fact Index 2.56):
Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Yakult Swallows:
T : 0.435 (0.393 / ▲0.042)
H : 0.433 (0.401 / ▲0.032)
A : 0.437 (0.383 / ▲0.054)
P : 0.500 (0.278 / ▲0.222)

Chunichi Dragons:
T : 0.421 (0.483 / ▼0.062)
H : 0.535 (0.552 / ▼0.017)
A : 0.304 (0.413 / ▼0.109)
P : 0.167 (0.463 / ▼0.296)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 4.3 (Model A.)
Yakult Swallows : 55% (▼ 1%)
0% (▼ 5%)
Chunichi Dragons : 45% (▲ 6%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.9 - 4.4 (Model B.4)
Yakult Swallows : 50% (▼ 6%)
0% (▼ 5%)
Chunichi Dragons : 50% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.1 - 1.8
Yakult Swallows : 46% (▼ 10%)
0% (▼ 5%)
Chunichi Dragons : 54% (▲ 15%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 7%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 10%
AWAY : 40%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 7%
AWAY : 43%


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