Chiba Lotte Marines

4 - 5

Seibu Lions

Seibu Lions Extension: Chiba Lotte Marines Slump Reaches 4 Games. Conversely, Away Dominance: Seibu Lions Grabs 5th Consecutive Win.

Sat, May 2, 2026 05:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 1.89)
HOMETEAM: 46%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 53%

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 41% actual win rate for identical index values.

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 1.89): Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 59% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 41%
0%
AWAY : 59%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 65%
0%
Underdog : 35%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 47% (▲ 1%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 53% (-)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.444 | 0.379 | ▼ 0.065
T | Seibu Lions | 0.483 | 0.509 | ▲ 0.026
H | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.571 | 0.500 | ▼ 0.071
A | Seibu Lions | 0.533 | 0.554 | ▲ 0.021
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.667 | 0.479 | ▼ 0.188
P | Seibu Lions | 0.667 | 0.825 | ▲ 0.158
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.9 - 4.1 (Model B.4)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 36% (▼ 10%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 64% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Chiba Lotte Marines : 49% (▲ 3%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 51% (▼ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Hometeam 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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