Kansas City Royals

8 - 2

Minnesota Twins

Kansas City Royals turns their stadium into a fortress with 4 straight home wins. Conversely, Minnesota Twins Reeling: 3rd Consecutive Loss.

Tue, Aug 4, 2026 23:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.22 - 1.82)
HOMETEAM: 45%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 55%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (41.38)
Intensity: [Moderate] (58.62)

Kansas City Royals (Fact Index 2.22):
Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 63% in this event.

Minnesota Twins (Fact Index 1.82):
Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 37% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Kansas City Royals:
T : 0.407 (0.405 / ▲0.002)
H : 0.491 (0.482 / ▲0.009)
A : 0.333 (0.333 / -)
P : 0.167 (0.261 / ▼0.094)

Minnesota Twins:
T : 0.496 (0.472 / ▲0.024)
H : 0.526 (0.498 / ▲0.028)
A : 0.464 (0.450 / ▲0.014)
P : 0.500 (0.458 / ▲0.042)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 70%
3%
Underdog : 27%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
3%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 5.2 (Model A.)
Kansas City Royals : 47% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 53% (▼ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.3 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
Kansas City Royals : 48% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 52% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 1.7
Kansas City Royals : 43% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 57% (▲ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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