Cleveland Guardians

4 - 2

Baltimore Orioles

Cleveland Guardians turns their stadium into a fortress with 3 straight home wins. However, 3-Game Losing Streak Plagues Baltimore Orioles.

Thu, Apr 16, 2026 22:10 (UTC)


Facts

Cleveland Guardians :
P. Messick (SP, W, 3-0, 1.05) 8.0, 2H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 9K
C. Smith (S, 4, 4.50)
2B: Rocchio (2, Baz)
HR: Ramírez (4, 1st inning off Baz 1 on, 1 Out)
RBI: Ramírez 2 (10), Valera (2), Kwan (7)
Baltimore Orioles :
S. Baz (SP, L, 0-2, 4.91), 6.0, 6H, 4R, 4ER, 3BB, 6K, 1HR
2B: Alonso (5, Smith)
RBI: Alonso (8), Henderson (14)
Parker Messick takes a no-no into the 9th in DOMINANT outing for Guardians 🫨 (Full outing recap!)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.00 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 50%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Due to a lack of data in the early stages of the competition, default index values may be applied. Please refer to each team's number of games played.

Cleveland Guardians (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Baltimore Orioles (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
7%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Cleveland Guardians : 61% (▲ 11%)
0% (-)
Baltimore Orioles : 39% (▼ 11%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Cleveland Guardians | 0.526 | 0.465 | ▼ 0.061
T | Baltimore Orioles | 0.500 | 0.494 | ▼ 0.006
H | Cleveland Guardians | 0.667 | 0.728 | ▲ 0.061
A | Baltimore Orioles | 0.500 | 0.433 | ▼ 0.067
P | Cleveland Guardians | 0.333 | 0.379 | ▲ 0.046
P | Baltimore Orioles | 0.500 | 0.545 | ▲ 0.045
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 5.0 (Model B.4)
Cleveland Guardians : 48% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
Baltimore Orioles : 52% (▲ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Cleveland Guardians : 53% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Baltimore Orioles : 47% (▼ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

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