Fukuoka S. Hawks

4 - 1

Rakuten Gold. Eagles

Fukuoka S. Hawks: 2 Straight Wins Over Rakuten Gold. Eagles. Conversely, 5-Game Losing Streak Plagues Rakuten Gold. Eagles.

Fri, May 1, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 2.17)
HOMETEAM: 52%
2%
AWAYTEAM: 46%

Fukuoka S. Hawks (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Rakuten Gold. Eagles (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 38% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 47%
15%
AWAY : 38%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 54%
15%
Underdog : 31%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 62% (▲ 10%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 38% (▼ 8%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 0.538 | 0.588 | ▲ 0.050
T | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.462 | 0.515 | ▲ 0.053
H | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 0.462 | 0.518 | ▲ 0.056
A | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.462 | 0.468 | ▲ 0.006
P | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 0.333 | 0.436 | ▲ 0.103
P | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.167 | 0.323 | ▲ 0.156
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.9 - 2.7 (Model B.4)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 69% (▲ 17%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 31% (▼ 15%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 2.8
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 67% (▲ 15%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 33% (▼ 13%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 74%
D : 3%
AWAY : 23%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%

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