Baltimore Orioles

4 - 3

Toronto Blue Jays

Mon, Sep 21, 2026 22:35 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 48%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.90)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.10)

Baltimore Orioles (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Toronto Blue Jays (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Baltimore Orioles:
T : 0.481 (0.479 / ▲0.002)
H : 0.462 (0.478 / ▼0.016)
A : 0.500 (0.479 / ▲0.021)
P : 0.500 (0.595 / ▼0.095)

Toronto Blue Jays:
T : 0.490 (0.467 / ▲0.023)
H : 0.513 (0.458 / ▲0.055)
A : 0.468 (0.476 / ▼0.008)
P : 0.333 (0.316 / ▲0.017)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
10%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
10%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 4.2 (Model A.)
Baltimore Orioles : 50% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Toronto Blue Jays : 50% (▼ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 4.4 (Model B.4)
Baltimore Orioles : 53% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Toronto Blue Jays : 47% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Baltimore Orioles : 50% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Toronto Blue Jays : 49% (▼ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (50%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 3%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (50%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy