Inter-League

New York Yankees

6 - 7

Miami Marlins

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 17:35 (UTC)

Facts

New York Yankees :
M. Fried (SP, 1.35) 6.2, 5H, 3R, 3ER, 3BB, 4K
F. Cruz (3H, 2.70),
J. Bird (L, 1-1, B, 6.23) 0.0, 1H, 3R, 3ER, 1BB
2B: Judge (1, Paddack); Chisholm Jr. (3, Bender)
HR: Rice (3, 1st inning off Fairbanks 2 on, 1 Out)
RBI: Chisholm Jr. 2 (3), Rice 3 (11)
Miami Marlins :
P. Fairbanks (SP, 6.75) 1.0, 3H, 3R, 3ER, 1BB, 1K, 1HR
J. King (W, 1-0, 0.00) 0.1
C. Faucher (H, 0.00),
A. Bender (S, 10.80), 1.0, 1H, 2R, 2ER, 3BB, 2K
2B: Edwards (3, Fried); Pauley (3, Bird)
RBI: Edwards 3 (5), Lopez (3), Hernández (4), Pauley 2 (3)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 53%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

New York Yankees (Fact Index 1.89): Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Miami Marlins (Fact Index 2.13): Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 56%
7%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 3.0 (Model A.)
New York Yankees : 66% (▲ 13%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 34% (▼ 13%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | New York Yankees | 0.875 | 0.863 | ▼ 0.012
T | Miami Marlins | 0.625 | 0.583 | ▼ 0.042
P | New York Yankees | 0.833 | 0.791 | ▼ 0.042
P | Miami Marlins | 0.500 | 0.568 | ▲ 0.068
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.7 - 3.9 (Model B.4)
New York Yankees : 59% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 41% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)

Average Odds : 1.4 - 3.2
New York Yankees : 70% (▲ 17%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 30% (▼ 17%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 73%
D : 0%
AWAY : 27%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

New York Yankees

Last 3:
MLB 2026-04-21 Boston Red Sox 0 - 4 New York Yankees
MLB 2026-04-19 New York Yankees 7 - 0 Kansas City Royals
MLB 2026-04-18 New York Yankees 13 - 4 Kansas City Royals

Next 3:
MLB 2026-04-22 Boston Red Sox - New York Yankees
MLB 2026-04-23 Boston Red Sox - New York Yankees
MLB 2026-04-25 Houston Astros - New York Yankees

Last 20 games

HOME :

AWAY :

Miami Marlins

Last 3:
MLB 2026-04-21 Miami Marlins 3 - 5 St. Louis Cardinals
MLB 2026-04-20 Miami Marlins 5 - 3 St. Louis Cardinals
MLB 2026-04-19 Miami Marlins 5 - 3 Milwaukee Brewers

Next 3:
MLB 2026-04-22 Miami Marlins - St. Louis Cardinals
MLB 2026-04-25 San Francisco Giants - Miami Marlins
MLB 2026-04-25 San Francisco Giants - Miami Marlins

Last 20 games

HOME :

AWAY :

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