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Atlanta Braves

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NLDS - Game 4, LAD win series 3-1

LA Dodgers

Home Ground Woes: 2nd Straight Loss for Atlanta Braves. Meanwhile, Los Angeles Dodgers proves to be true road warriors with a 6th consecutive away win.

Wed, Oct 7, 2026 22:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.00 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 50%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Due to a lack of data in the early stages of the competition, default index values may be applied. Please refer to each team's number of games played.

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.90)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.10)

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 2.00):
Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 60% in this event.

LA Dodgers (Fact Index 2.00):
Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 40% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Atlanta Braves:
T : 0.577 (0.576 / ▲0.001)
H : 0.635 (0.592 / ▲0.043)
A : 0.518 (0.559 / ▼0.041)
P : 0.500 (0.546 / ▼0.046)

LA Dodgers:
T : 0.618 (0.630 / ▼0.012)
H : 0.627 (0.572 / ▲0.055)
A : 0.610 (0.684 / ▼0.074)
P : 0.833 (0.766 / ▲0.067)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
3%
Underdog : 30%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
3%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Atlanta Braves : 45% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 55% (▲ 5%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.8 - 3.4 (Model B.4)
Atlanta Braves : 42% (▼ 8%)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 58% (▲ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 1.7
Atlanta Braves : 43% (▼ 7%)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 56% (▲ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 0%
AWAY : 70%


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