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Chunichi Dragons

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Seibu Lions

Chunichi Dragons have lost their home advantage, falling in 2 straight games. Conversely, Seibu Lions on Fire: 2-Game Winning Streak.

Sun, Jun 7, 2026 04:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.78 - 1.59)
HOMETEAM: 36%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 63%

Chunichi Dragons (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 18% actual win rate for identical index values.

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 1.59): Expected Win % is 63%, compared to a 73% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 18%
9%
AWAY : 73%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 73%
9%
Underdog : 18%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Chunichi Dragons : 38% (▲ 2%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 62% (▼ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chunichi Dragons | 0.357 | 0.438 | ▲ 0.081
T | Seibu Lions | 0.607 | 0.612 | ▲ 0.005
H | Chunichi Dragons | 0.471 | 0.504 | ▲ 0.033
A | Seibu Lions | 0.643 | 0.596 | ▼ 0.047
P | Chunichi Dragons | 0.167 | 0.257 | ▲ 0.090
P | Seibu Lions | 0.667 | 0.645 | ▼ 0.022
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 1.8 - 3.2 (Model B.4)
Chunichi Dragons : 36% (-)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 64% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.8
Chunichi Dragons : 48% (▲ 12%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 52% (▼ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

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