Inter-League

Pittsburgh Pirates

4 - 3

Kansas City Royals

Pittsburgh Pirates dominates at home, making it 4 consecutive home victories. Conversely, 4-Game Losing Streak Plagues Kansas City Royals.

Sun, Sep 20, 2026 17:35 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.75 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 57%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (44.83)
Intensity: [Moderate] (55.17)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Fact Index 1.75):
Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 60% in this event.

Kansas City Royals (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 40% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Pittsburgh Pirates:
T : 0.503 (0.518 / ▼0.015)
H : 0.532 (0.527 / ▲0.005)
A : 0.474 (0.507 / ▼0.033)
P : 0.667 (0.548 / ▲0.119)

Kansas City Royals:
T : 0.432 (0.435 / ▼0.003)
H : 0.520 (0.505 / ▲0.015)
A : 0.350 (0.362 / ▼0.012)
P : 0.167 (0.323 / ▼0.156)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
0%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.9 - 3.8 (Model A.)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 53% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 47% (▲ 4%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 4.4 (Model B.4)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 49% (▼ 8%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 51% (▲ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Pittsburgh Pirates : 52% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 48% (▲ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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