Philadelphia Phillies

1 - 4

Milwaukee Brewers

Wed, Sep 23, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.04 - 1.96)
HOMETEAM: 49%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 51%

Weight: [Close] (24.14)
Intensity: [Fierce] (75.86)

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 2.04):
Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Milwaukee Brewers (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 54% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Philadelphia Phillies:
T : 0.548 (0.519 / ▲0.029)
H : 0.553 (0.537 / ▲0.016)
A : 0.543 (0.500 / ▲0.043)
P : 0.667 (0.558 / ▲0.109)

Milwaukee Brewers:
T : 0.624 (0.628 / ▼0.004)
H : 0.667 (0.699 / ▼0.032)
A : 0.582 (0.553 / ▲0.029)
P : 0.667 (0.520 / ▲0.147)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
0%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
3%
AWAY : 54%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
3%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.6 - 4.5 (Model A.)
Philadelphia Phillies : 46% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 54% (▲ 3%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.6 - 4.1 (Model B.4)
Philadelphia Phillies : 42% (▼ 7%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 58% (▲ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 1.7
Philadelphia Phillies : 44% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 56% (▲ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 0%
AWAY : 67%


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