Inter-League

Philadelphia Phillies

7 - 3

Tampa Bay Rays

Sun, Sep 27, 2026 19:05 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 80%
D: 0%
Away: 20%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.04 - 1.96)
HOMETEAM: 49%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 51%

Weight: [Close] (20.69)
Intensity: [Fierce] (79.31)

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 2.04):
Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 54% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Philadelphia Phillies:
T : 0.534 (0.506 / ▲0.028)
H : 0.525 (0.511 / ▲0.014)
A : 0.543 (0.500 / ▲0.043)
P : 0.333 (0.252 / ▲0.081)

Tampa Bay Rays:
T : 0.609 (0.561 / ▲0.048)
H : 0.679 (0.567 / ▲0.112)
A : 0.538 (0.555 / ▼0.017)
P : 0.500 (0.640 / ▼0.140)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
0%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
3%
AWAY : 54%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
3%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.9 - 4.2 (Model A.)
Philadelphia Phillies : 48% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 52% (▲ 1%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 5.2 (Model B.4)
Philadelphia Phillies : 35% (▼ 14%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 65% (▲ 14%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
Philadelphia Phillies : 57% (▲ 8%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 43% (▼ 8%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 3%
AWAY : 54%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 3%
AWAY : 60%


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