Inter-League

Colorado Rockies

5 - 1

Houston Astros

Defending the Turf: Colorado Rockies Wins 3rd in a Row. However, 3-Game Losing Streak Plagues Houston Astros.

Wed, Apr 8, 2026 00:40 (UTC)


Facts

Colorado Rockies :
K. Freeland (SP, W, 1-1, 2.30) 6.1, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 5K, 1HR
A. Senzatela (S, 0.00) 2.2, 3K
HR: Castro (1, 4th inning off Burrows 1 on, 2 Out); Moniak (3, 7th inning off Teng 1 on, 2 Out)
RBI: Castro 3 (7), Moniak 2 (4)
Houston Astros :
M. Burrows (SP, L, 1-2, 5.63) 5.1, 8H, 3R, 3ER, 1BB, 3K, 1HR
HR: Walker (3, 2nd inning off Freeland 0 on, 1 Out)
RBI: Walker (13)
Astros vs. Rockies Game Highlights (4/7/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Colorado Rockies (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.

Houston Astros (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 6.0 (Model A.)
Colorado Rockies : 50% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 50% (▲ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Colorado Rockies | 0.400 | 0.477 | ▲ 0.077
T | Houston Astros | 0.545 | 0.584 | ▲ 0.039
H | Colorado Rockies | 0.500 | 0.371 | ▼ 0.129
A | Houston Astros | 0.250 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.250
P | Colorado Rockies | 0.500 | 0.338 | ▼ 0.162
P | Houston Astros | 0.500 | 0.596 | ▲ 0.096
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 5.1 (Model B.4)
Colorado Rockies : 37% (▼ 14%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 63% (▲ 14%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.6 - 1.5
Colorado Rockies : 37% (▼ 14%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 63% (▲ 14%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 3%
AWAY : 60%

Awayteam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

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