Inter-League

Houston Astros

2 - 4

Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves dominance: Houston Astros drop 4th straight matchup. Meanwhile, Atlanta Braves Secures 3rd Straight: The Streak Continues.

Sun, Sep 20, 2026 18:10 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.27 - 1.79)
HOMETEAM: 44%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 56%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (37.93)
Intensity: [Fierce] (62.07)

Houston Astros (Fact Index 2.27):
Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 43% in this event.

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 1.79):
Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 57% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Houston Astros:
T : 0.497 (0.464 / ▲0.033)
H : 0.488 (0.463 / ▲0.025)
A : 0.507 (0.464 / ▲0.043)
P : 0.333 (0.282 / ▲0.051)

Atlanta Braves:
T : 0.587 (0.581 / ▲0.006)
H : 0.654 (0.600 / ▲0.054)
A : 0.519 (0.562 / ▼0.043)
P : 0.500 (0.455 / ▲0.045)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 56%
7%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.3 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Houston Astros : 43% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 57% (▲ 1%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 4.8 (Model B.4)
Houston Astros : 43% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 57% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
Houston Astros : 59% (▲ 15%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 41% (▼ 15%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


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