Chicago White Sox

8 - 11

Detroit Tigers

Fri, Sep 18, 2026 23:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 2.22)
HOMETEAM: 55%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 45%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (31.03)
Intensity: [Fierce] (68.97)

Chicago White Sox (Fact Index 1.82):
Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Detroit Tigers (Fact Index 2.22):
Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chicago White Sox:
T : 0.510 (0.524 / ▼0.014)
H : 0.587 (0.586 / ▲0.001)
A : 0.436 (0.466 / ▼0.030)
P : 0.500 (0.518 / ▼0.018)

Detroit Tigers:
T : 0.471 (0.552 / ▼0.081)
H : 0.520 (0.576 / ▼0.056)
A : 0.423 (0.531 / ▼0.108)
P : 0.667 (0.721 / ▼0.054)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 56%
7%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 56%
7%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 3.8 (Model A.)
Chicago White Sox : 52% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 48% (▲ 3%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 4.7 (Model B.4)
Chicago White Sox : 42% (▼ 13%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 58% (▲ 13%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
Chicago White Sox : 54% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 46% (▲ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 3%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%


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