Athletics

11 - 4

Houston Astros

Sat, Apr 4, 2026 01:40 (UTC)


Facts

Athletics :
J. Springs (SP, W, 1-0, 2.38) 6.0, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 7K
2B: Soderstrom (2, Muñoz); Muncy (3, Javier)
HR: Muncy (2, 4th inning off Muñoz 0 on, 2 Out); Butler (1, 4th inning off Muñoz 2 on, 2 Out)
RBI: Soderstrom 2 (3), Wilson (3), Muncy 3 (5), Butler 4 (4), Clarke (2)
Houston Astros :
C. Javier (SP, L, 0-1, 12.96) 3.2, 6H, 6R, 6ER, 5BB, 2K
2B: Peña (1, Springs); Diaz (1, Ginn)
RBI: Alvarez (7), Meyers (3), Diaz (4), Matthews (2)
BACK-TO-BACK HRs 🔥 Houston Astros vs. The Athletics | Full Game Highlights | ESPN MLB
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 80%
D: 0%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.33 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 43%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Athletics (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Houston Astros (Fact Index 1.75): Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 47%
0%
Underdog : 53%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 6.0 (Model A.)
Athletics : 43% (-)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 57% (-)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Athletics | 0.167 | 0.300 | ▲ 0.133
T | Houston Astros | 0.714 | 0.651 | ▼ 0.063
P | Athletics | 0.167 | 0.300 | ▲ 0.133
P | Houston Astros | 0.833 | 0.691 | ▼ 0.142
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.7 - 5.3 (Model B.4)
Athletics : 48% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 52% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.9
Athletics : 49% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 51% (▼ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

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