Inter-League

Washington Nationals

3 - 6

Houston Astros

Tue, Jul 7, 2026 22:45 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Washington Nationals (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Houston Astros (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
3%
Underdog : 54%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.5 - 6.5 (Model A.)
Washington Nationals : 50% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 50% (▲ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Washington Nationals | 0.511 | 0.509 | ▼ 0.002
T | Houston Astros | 0.484 | 0.454 | ▼ 0.030
H | Washington Nationals | 0.413 | 0.443 | ▲ 0.030
A | Houston Astros | 0.478 | 0.472 | ▼ 0.006
P | Washington Nationals | 0.667 | 0.589 | ▼ 0.078
P | Houston Astros | 0.500 | 0.473 | ▼ 0.027
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.6 - 5.9 (Model B.4)
Washington Nationals : 48% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 52% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Washington Nationals : 52% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 48% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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