St. Louis Cardinals

3 - 10

San Francisco Giants

Tue, Sep 15, 2026 23:45 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (51.72)
Intensity: [Moderate] (48.28)

St. Louis Cardinals (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 73% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 73% in this event.

San Francisco Giants (Fact Index 2.04):
Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 27% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

St. Louis Cardinals:
T : 0.503 (0.497 / ▲0.006)
H : 0.500 (0.436 / ▲0.064)
A : 0.507 (0.549 / ▼0.042)
P : 0.500 (0.583 / ▼0.083)

San Francisco Giants:
T : 0.411 (0.446 / ▼0.035)
H : 0.480 (0.472 / ▲0.008)
A : 0.342 (0.423 / ▼0.081)
P : 0.333 (0.433 / ▼0.100)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.3 - 4.6 (Model A.)
St. Louis Cardinals : 55% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
San Francisco Giants : 45% (▼ 4%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.8 - 4.6 (Model B.4)
St. Louis Cardinals : 63% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
San Francisco Giants : 37% (▼ 12%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
St. Louis Cardinals : 59% (▲ 8%)
0% (-)
San Francisco Giants : 41% (▼ 8%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


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