Milwaukee Brewers

4 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

Tue, Aug 4, 2026 23:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.13 - 1.89)
HOMETEAM: 47%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 53%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (48.28)
Intensity: [Moderate] (51.72)

Milwaukee Brewers (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Fact Index 1.89):
Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Milwaukee Brewers:
T : 0.616 (0.623 / ▼0.007)
H : 0.632 (0.673 / ▼0.041)
A : 0.600 (0.571 / ▲0.029)
P : 0.500 (0.411 / ▲0.089)

Pittsburgh Pirates:
T : 0.500 (0.525 / ▼0.025)
H : 0.509 (0.527 / ▼0.018)
A : 0.491 (0.522 / ▼0.031)
P : 0.333 (0.330 / ▲0.003)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
7%
Underdog : 43%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
7%
Underdog : 43%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 3.5 (Model A.)
Milwaukee Brewers : 56% (▲ 9%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 44% (▼ 9%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.3 - 4.9 (Model B.4)
Milwaukee Brewers : 51% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 49% (▼ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
Milwaukee Brewers : 59% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 41% (▼ 12%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


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