Cincinnati Reds

6 - 2

LA Dodgers

Wed, Sep 16, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 10%
D: 0%
Away: 90%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.57 - 1.39)
HOMETEAM: 28%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 72%

Weight: [Distant] (68.97)
Intensity: [Tilted] (31.03)

Cincinnati Reds (Fact Index 3.57):
Expected Win % is 28%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

LA Dodgers (Fact Index 1.39):
Expected Win % is 72%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cincinnati Reds:
T : 0.464 (0.405 / ▲0.059)
H : 0.474 (0.434 / ▲0.040)
A : 0.453 (0.378 / ▲0.075)
P : 0.167 (0.078 / ▲0.089)

LA Dodgers:
T : 0.609 (0.621 / ▼0.012)
H : 0.627 (0.556 / ▲0.071)
A : 0.592 (0.680 / ▼0.088)
P : 0.667 (0.842 / ▼0.175)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 28 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 64%
7%
Underdog : 29%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
3%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
10%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 4.2 (Model A.)
Cincinnati Reds : 37% (▲ 9%)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 63% (▼ 9%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.1 - 6.5 (Model B.4)
Cincinnati Reds : 23% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 77% (▲ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.7 - 1.5
Cincinnati Reds : 35% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 65% (▼ 7%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 24 game(s)

HOME : 42%
D : 0%
AWAY : 58%

Based on Away team = 1.5 (65%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

Based on Away team = 1.5 (65%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%


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