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Seibu Lions

Yakult Swallows Stuck in 2 Competition Slump. However, Seibu Lions on Fire: 3-Game Winning Streak.

Tue, May 26, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 10%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 53%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Yakult Swallows (Fact Index 1.89): Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 2.13): Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
3%
Underdog : 54%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 5.5 (Model A.)
Yakult Swallows : 43% (▼ 10%)
0% (-)
Seibu Lions : 57% (▲ 10%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Yakult Swallows | 0.609 | 0.538 | ▼ 0.071
T | Seibu Lions | 0.574 | 0.571 | ▼ 0.003
H | Yakult Swallows | 0.650 | 0.511 | ▼ 0.139
A | Seibu Lions | 0.591 | 0.539 | ▼ 0.052
P | Yakult Swallows | 0.500 | 0.534 | ▲ 0.034
P | Seibu Lions | 0.667 | 0.551 | ▼ 0.116
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.5 - 2.2 (Model B.4)
Yakult Swallows : 55% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Seibu Lions : 45% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 1.6
Yakult Swallows : 42% (▼ 11%)
0% (-)
Seibu Lions : 58% (▲ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Awayteam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 0%
AWAY : 77%

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