Chunichi Dragons

5 - 4

Hiroshima Carp

Wed, Sep 2, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 0%
Away: 80%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 1.67)
HOMETEAM: 39%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 60%

Weight: [Adjacent] (9.09)
Intensity: [Extreme] (90.91)

Chunichi Dragons (Fact Index 2.56):
Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 36% in this event.

Hiroshima Carp (Fact Index 1.67):
Expected Win % is 60%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 64% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chunichi Dragons:
T : 0.421 (0.487 / ▼0.066)
H : 0.530 (0.538 / ▼0.008)
A : 0.291 (0.428 / ▼0.137)
P : 0.167 (0.355 / ▼0.188)

Hiroshima Carp:
T : 0.432 (0.412 / ▲0.020)
H : 0.492 (0.418 / ▲0.074)
A : 0.365 (0.406 / ▼0.041)
P : 0.500 (0.358 / ▲0.142)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 22 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 36%
0%
AWAY : 64%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 22 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 59%
14%
Underdog : 27%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
10%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 2.3 (Model A.)
Chunichi Dragons : 56% (▲ 17%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Hiroshima Carp : 44% (▼ 16%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.9 - 3.2 (Model B.4)
Chunichi Dragons : 45% (▲ 6%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Hiroshima Carp : 55% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
Chunichi Dragons : 59% (▲ 20%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Hiroshima Carp : 41% (▼ 19%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 74%
D : 3%
AWAY : 23%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 80%
D : 0%
AWAY : 20%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 83%
D : 0%
AWAY : 17%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 80%
D : 0%
AWAY : 20%


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