San Diego Padres

9 - 4

Arizona Diamondbacks

San Diego Padres turns their stadium into a fortress with 2 straight home wins. However, Losing Skid Hits 2 for Struggling Arizona Diamondbacks.

Sun, Sep 27, 2026 19:10 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.00 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 50%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Due to a lack of data in the early stages of the competition, default index values may be applied. Please refer to each team's number of games played.

Weight: [Close] (10.34)
Intensity: [Extreme] (89.66)

San Diego Padres (Fact Index 2.00):
Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 60% in this event.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Fact Index 2.00):
Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 40% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

San Diego Padres:
T : 0.559 (0.525 / ▲0.034)
H : 0.625 (0.550 / ▲0.075)
A : 0.494 (0.504 / ▼0.010)
P : 0.667 (0.485 / ▲0.182)

Arizona Diamondbacks:
T : 0.534 (0.509 / ▲0.025)
H : 0.556 (0.520 / ▲0.036)
A : 0.513 (0.497 / ▲0.016)
P : 0.833 (0.706 / ▲0.127)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
3%
Underdog : 30%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
3%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.2 - 5.1 (Model A.)
San Diego Padres : 51% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 49% (▼ 1%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.9 - 5.2 (Model B.4)
San Diego Padres : 57% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 43% (▼ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.8
San Diego Padres : 47% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 53% (▲ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%


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