Washington Nationals

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Philadelphia Phillies

Wed, Sep 16, 2026 22:45 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 48%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (48.28)
Intensity: [Moderate] (51.72)

Washington Nationals (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Washington Nationals:
T : 0.467 (0.504 / ▼0.037)
H : 0.481 (0.487 / ▼0.006)
A : 0.453 (0.523 / ▼0.070)
P : 0.667 (0.468 / ▲0.199)

Philadelphia Phillies:
T : 0.543 (0.518 / ▲0.025)
H : 0.547 (0.535 / ▲0.012)
A : 0.539 (0.499 / ▲0.040)
P : 0.333 (0.420 / ▼0.087)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
10%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
10%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.2 - 5.6 (Model A.)
Washington Nationals : 48% (-)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 52% (-)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 5.4 (Model B.4)
Washington Nationals : 44% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 56% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.6 - 1.5
Washington Nationals : 37% (▼ 11%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 63% (▲ 11%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Based on Away team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 0%
AWAY : 67%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Based on Away team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 0%
AWAY : 70%


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