Chiba Lotte Marines

8 - 0

Seibu Lions

Dominance: Chiba Lotte Marines make it 3 in a row over Seibu Lions. However, Seibu Lions Form has dropped with a 2-match slump.

Wed, Aug 5, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 48%
2%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (45.45)
Intensity: [Moderate] (54.55)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 71% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 64% in this event.

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 2.00):
Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 36% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chiba Lotte Marines:
T : 0.473 (0.449 / ▲0.024)
H : 0.545 (0.515 / ▲0.030)
A : 0.404 (0.376 / ▲0.028)
P : 0.500 (0.384 / ▲0.116)

Seibu Lions:
T : 0.567 (0.551 / ▲0.016)
H : 0.580 (0.579 / ▲0.001)
A : 0.553 (0.524 / ▲0.029)
P : 0.500 (0.561 / ▼0.061)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 14 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 64%
0%
AWAY : 36%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 14 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
0%
Underdog : 43%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 17 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 71%
0%
AWAY : 29%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 17 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
6%
Underdog : 41%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 4.3 (Model A.)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 49% (▲ 1%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Seibu Lions : 51% (▲ 1%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.2 - 3.8 (Model B.4)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 40% (▼ 8%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Seibu Lions : 60% (▲ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Chiba Lotte Marines : 49% (▲ 1%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Seibu Lions : 51% (▲ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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