Milwaukee Brewers

3 - 4

Cincinnati Reds

Sun, Sep 13, 2026 18:10 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.59 - 2.70)
HOMETEAM: 63%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 37%

Weight: [Distant] (72.41)
Intensity: [Tilted] (27.59)

Milwaukee Brewers (Fact Index 1.59):
Expected Win % is 63%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 47% in this event.

Cincinnati Reds (Fact Index 2.70):
Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 53% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Milwaukee Brewers:
T : 0.624 (0.630 / ▼0.006)
H : 0.675 (0.703 / ▼0.028)
A : 0.569 (0.550 / ▲0.019)
P : 0.833 (0.731 / ▲0.102)

Cincinnati Reds:
T : 0.466 (0.407 / ▲0.059)
H : 0.486 (0.443 / ▲0.043)
A : 0.446 (0.376 / ▲0.070)
P : 0.167 (0.171 / ▼0.004)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
0%
Underdog : 43%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
0%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 7.8 - 4.2 (Model A.)
Milwaukee Brewers : 69% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 31% (▼ 6%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 8.7 - 4.8 (Model B.4)
Milwaukee Brewers : 72% (▲ 9%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 28% (▼ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.5 - 2.6
Milwaukee Brewers : 63% (-)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 36% (▼ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 12 game(s)

HOME : 83%
D : 0%
AWAY : 17%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 80%
D : 0%
AWAY : 20%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 22 game(s)

HOME : 86%
D : 0%
AWAY : 14%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 87%
D : 0%
AWAY : 13%


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