Chicago Cubs

3 - 4

Pittsburgh Pirates

Sun, Sep 13, 2026 18:20 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.79 - 2.27)
HOMETEAM: 56%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 44%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (31.03)
Intensity: [Fierce] (68.97)

Chicago Cubs (Fact Index 1.79):
Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 47% in this event.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Fact Index 2.27):
Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 53% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chicago Cubs:
T : 0.557 (0.587 / ▼0.030)
H : 0.581 (0.580 / ▲0.001)
A : 0.533 (0.594 / ▼0.061)
P : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)

Pittsburgh Pirates:
T : 0.497 (0.516 / ▼0.019)
H : 0.528 (0.526 / ▲0.002)
A : 0.468 (0.505 / ▼0.037)
P : 0.667 (0.500 / ▲0.167)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
3%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.7 - 4.6 (Model A.)
Chicago Cubs : 55% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 45% (▲ 1%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 3.7 (Model B.4)
Chicago Cubs : 61% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 39% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
Chicago Cubs : 56% (-)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 43% (▼ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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