Inter-League

Detroit Tigers

9 - 2

Washington Nationals

Defending the Turf: Detroit Tigers Wins 5th in a Row. Conversely, Washington Nationals are stuck in a 2-game winless Rut.

Mon, Sep 21, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 1.72)
HOMETEAM: 42%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 58%

Weight: [Adjacent] (0.00)
Intensity: [Extreme] (100.00)

Detroit Tigers (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

Washington Nationals (Fact Index 1.72):
Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Detroit Tigers:
T : 0.468 (0.547 / ▼0.079)
H : 0.520 (0.576 / ▼0.056)
A : 0.420 (0.522 / ▼0.102)
P : 0.333 (0.448 / ▼0.115)

Washington Nationals:
T : 0.468 (0.507 / ▼0.039)
H : 0.474 (0.484 / ▼0.010)
A : 0.462 (0.533 / ▼0.071)
P : 0.667 (0.665 / ▲0.002)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.6 - 4.2 (Model A.)
Detroit Tigers : 53% (▲ 11%)
0% (-)
Washington Nationals : 47% (▼ 11%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 6.2 (Model B.4)
Detroit Tigers : 34% (▼ 8%)
0% (-)
Washington Nationals : 66% (▲ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 71.4%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
Detroit Tigers : 58% (▲ 16%)
0% (-)
Washington Nationals : 42% (▼ 16%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%


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