Orix Buffaloes

3 - 0

Chiba Lotte Marines

Orix Buffaloes Sweep Chiba Lotte Marines in Last 4 Matchups. Conversely, Chiba Lotte Marines Stuck in 3 Competition Slump.

Wed, May 6, 2026 04:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.37 - 3.70)
HOMETEAM: 73%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 27%

Orix Buffaloes (Fact Index 1.37): Expected Win % is 73%, compared to a 70% actual win rate for identical index values.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 70%
0%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 77%
0%
Underdog : 23%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Orix Buffaloes : 66% (▼ 7%)
0% (-)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 34% (▲ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Orix Buffaloes | 0.625 | 0.518 | ▼ 0.107
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.419 | 0.398 | ▼ 0.021
H | Orix Buffaloes | 0.875 | 0.741 | ▼ 0.134
A | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.267 | 0.210 | ▼ 0.057
P | Orix Buffaloes | 0.667 | 0.558 | ▼ 0.109
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.333 | 0.366 | ▲ 0.033
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.1 - 3.1 (Model B.4)
Orix Buffaloes : 58% (▼ 15%)
0% (-)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 42% (▲ 15%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.2
Orix Buffaloes : 58% (▼ 15%)
0% (-)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 42% (▲ 15%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 3%
AWAY : 54%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 3%
AWAY : 37%

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