New York Yankees

6 - 4

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees turns their stadium into a fortress with 2 straight home wins. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay Rays Form has dropped with a 2-match slump.

Thu, Sep 24, 2026 23:05 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.00 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 50%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Due to a lack of data in the early stages of the competition, default index values may be applied. Please refer to each team's number of games played.

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.90)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.10)

New York Yankees (Fact Index 2.00):
Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 60% in this event.

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 2.00):
Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 40% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

New York Yankees:
T : 0.576 (0.598 / ▼0.022)
H : 0.571 (0.582 / ▼0.011)
A : 0.580 (0.614 / ▼0.034)
P : 0.500 (0.589 / ▼0.089)

Tampa Bay Rays:
T : 0.608 (0.555 / ▲0.053)
H : 0.679 (0.567 / ▲0.112)
A : 0.532 (0.542 / ▼0.010)
P : 0.500 (0.474 / ▲0.026)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
3%
Underdog : 30%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
3%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 4.0 (Model A.)
New York Yankees : 52% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 48% (▼ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 3.9 (Model B.4)
New York Yankees : 47% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 53% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
New York Yankees : 58% (▲ 8%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 43% (▼ 7%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 19 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 0%
AWAY : 67%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%


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