Detroit Tigers

2 - 1

Kansas City Royals

Detroit Tigers turns their stadium into a fortress with 5 straight home wins. However, Kansas City Royals Road Trip Hell: 4th Straight Away Loss.

Wed, Apr 15, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

Detroit Tigers :
J. Flaherty (SP, 4.05) 6.0, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 3BB, 7K
K. Finnegan (W, 1-0, 0.00), K. Jansen (S, 4, 1.93)
2B: Báez (4, Lugo)
HR: Pérez (1, 8th inning off Morgan 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Rogers (2), Pérez (1)
Kansas City Royals :
S. Lugo (SP, 1.48) 6.2, 5H, 1R, 1ER, 7K
E. Morgan (L, 0-1, 1.50) 1.0, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 1K, 1HR
3B: Pasquantino (1, Finnegan); Caglianone (1, Flaherty)
RBI: Isbel (6)
Royals vs. Tigers Game Highlights (4/15/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 80%
D: 0%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.52 - 2.94)
HOMETEAM: 66%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 34%

Detroit Tigers (Fact Index 1.52): Expected Win % is 66%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Kansas City Royals (Fact Index 2.94): Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 3.0 (Model A.)
Detroit Tigers : 73% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 27% (▼ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Detroit Tigers | 0.471 | 0.575 | ▲ 0.104
T | Kansas City Royals | 0.412 | 0.411 | ▼ 0.001
H | Detroit Tigers | 0.857 | 0.832 | ▼ 0.025
A | Kansas City Royals | 0.286 | 0.209 | ▼ 0.077
P | Detroit Tigers | 0.667 | 0.718 | ▲ 0.051
P | Kansas City Royals | 0.333 | 0.282 | ▼ 0.051
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 2.1 (Model B.4)
Detroit Tigers : 69% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 31% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
Detroit Tigers : 55% (▼ 11%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 45% (▲ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 64%
D : 3%
AWAY : 33%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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