Boston Red Sox

5 - 1

Kansas City Royals

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 20:10 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 80%
D: 0%
Away: 20%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.75 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 57%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Weight: [Distant] (62.07)
Intensity: [Tilted] (37.93)

Boston Red Sox (Fact Index 1.75):
Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

Kansas City Royals (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Boston Red Sox:
T : 0.541 (0.562 / ▼0.021)
H : 0.493 (0.539 / ▼0.046)
A : 0.587 (0.585 / ▲0.002)
P : 0.500 (0.548 / ▼0.048)

Kansas City Royals:
T : 0.446 (0.441 / ▲0.005)
H : 0.520 (0.505 / ▲0.015)
A : 0.370 (0.370 / -)
P : 0.500 (0.605 / ▼0.105)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
0%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
0%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Boston Red Sox : 51% (▼ 6%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 49% (▲ 6%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.7 - 3.0 (Model B.4)
Boston Red Sox : 60% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 40% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.5 - 2.5
Boston Red Sox : 63% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 37% (▼ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 77%
D : 0%
AWAY : 23%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 80%
D : 0%
AWAY : 20%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 83%
D : 0%
AWAY : 17%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 87%
D : 0%
AWAY : 13%


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