Miami Marlins

3 - 0

Atlanta Braves

Miami Marlins turns their stadium into a fortress with 3 straight home wins. Conversely, Atlanta Braves Form has dropped with a 2-match slump.

Fri, Sep 25, 2026 23:10 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 1.49)
HOMETEAM: 33%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 67%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (41.38)
Intensity: [Moderate] (58.62)

Miami Marlins (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 60% in this event.

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 1.49):
Expected Win % is 67%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 40% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Miami Marlins:
T : 0.491 (0.502 / ▼0.011)
H : 0.577 (0.557 / ▲0.020)
A : 0.407 (0.453 / ▼0.046)
P : 0.333 (0.411 / ▼0.078)

Atlanta Braves:
T : 0.585 (0.578 / ▲0.007)
H : 0.642 (0.592 / ▲0.050)
A : 0.526 (0.564 / ▼0.038)
P : 0.667 (0.601 / ▲0.066)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
3%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
3%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 6.8 (Model A.)
Miami Marlins : 33% (-)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 67% (-)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.8 - 5.8 (Model B.4)
Miami Marlins : 17% (▼ 16%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 83% (▲ 16%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.8
Miami Marlins : 47% (▲ 14%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 53% (▼ 14%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%


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