Yokohama Baystars

11 - 7

Hanshin Tigers

Yokohama Baystars dominates at home, making it 5 consecutive home victories. Meanwhile, Hanshin Tigers is battling through a 2-match win drought.

Wed, Aug 5, 2026 08:45 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 42%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (54.55)
Intensity: [Moderate] (45.45)

Yokohama Baystars (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 39% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 38% in this event.

Hanshin Tigers (Fact Index 1.75):
Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 61% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 62% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Yokohama Baystars:
T : 0.452 (0.506 / ▼0.054)
H : 0.488 (0.487 / ▲0.001)
A : 0.423 (0.524 / ▼0.101)
P : 0.667 (0.449 / ▲0.218)

Hanshin Tigers:
T : 0.564 (0.580 / ▼0.016)
H : 0.522 (0.500 / ▲0.022)
A : 0.604 (0.636 / ▼0.032)
P : 0.667 (0.557 / ▲0.110)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 13 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 38%
0%
AWAY : 62%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 13 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 69%
8%
Underdog : 23%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 23 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 39%
0%
AWAY : 61%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 23 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 56%
9%
Underdog : 35%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.2 - 4.2 (Model A.)
Yokohama Baystars : 50% (▲ 8%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Hanshin Tigers : 50% (▼ 7%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.8 - 2.9 (Model B.4)
Yokohama Baystars : 51% (▲ 9%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Hanshin Tigers : 49% (▼ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 1.7
Yokohama Baystars : 43% (▲ 1%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Hanshin Tigers : 56% (▼ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 6 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 7%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 3%
AWAY : 57%


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