Inter-League

Kansas City Royals

3 - 6

Miami Marlins

Kansas City Royals is battling through a 2-match win drought.

Tue, Sep 1, 2026 23:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (41.38)
Intensity: [Moderate] (58.62)

Kansas City Royals (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 70% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 67% in this event.

Miami Marlins (Fact Index 2.04):
Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Kansas City Royals:
T : 0.449 (0.440 / ▲0.009)
H : 0.545 (0.513 / ▲0.032)
A : 0.361 (0.367 / ▼0.006)
P : 0.667 (0.638 / ▲0.029)

Miami Marlins:
T : 0.500 (0.509 / ▼0.009)
H : 0.609 (0.581 / ▲0.028)
A : 0.391 (0.447 / ▼0.056)
P : 0.333 (0.376 / ▼0.043)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 43%
3%
Underdog : 54%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 70%
0%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 43%
3%
Underdog : 54%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.4 - 3.2 (Model A.)
Kansas City Royals : 63% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 37% (▼ 12%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.7 - 4.2 (Model B.4)
Kansas City Royals : 63% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 37% (▼ 12%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 71.4%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Kansas City Royals : 52% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 48% (▼ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%


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