Philadelphia Phillies

2 - 11

Chicago Cubs

Fortress Crumbles: Philadelphia Phillies Lose 2nd Straight at Home. Meanwhile, Chicago Cubs Clinches 2nd Consecutive Victory.

Wed, Apr 15, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

Philadelphia Phillies :
J. Luzardo (SP, L, 1-3, 7.94) 5.1, 12H, 9R, 8ER, 1BB, 4K, 1HR
2B: García (4, Imanaga)
HR: Harper (4, 9th inning off Little 0 on, 1 Out); Turner (2, 1st inning off Imanaga 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Harper (11), Turner (7)
Chicago Cubs :
S. Imanaga (SP, W, 1-1, 2.45) 6.0, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 11K, 1HR
2B: Shaw 3 (4, Luzardo 3)
HR: Swanson (4, 7th inning off Backhus 0 on, 1 Out); Hoerner (2, 5th inning off Luzardo 1 on, 1 Out)
RBI: Swanson 2 (11), Hoerner 5 (18), Shaw 2 (8)
11 STRIKEOUTS FOR SHOTA! Shota Imanaga is STELLAR for the Cubs! 😤🔥 | 今永昇太
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Chicago Cubs (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 54%
3%
Underdog : 43%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 6.0 (Model A.)
Philadelphia Phillies : 48% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 52% (▲ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.471 | 0.407 | ▼ 0.064
T | Chicago Cubs | 0.471 | 0.558 | ▲ 0.087
H | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.455 | 0.391 | ▼ 0.064
A | Chicago Cubs | 0.500 | 0.568 | ▲ 0.068
P | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.333 | 0.412 | ▲ 0.079
P | Chicago Cubs | 0.500 | 0.529 | ▲ 0.029
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 5.5 (Model B.4)
Philadelphia Phillies : 42% (▼ 9%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 58% (▲ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
Philadelphia Phillies : 56% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 44% (▼ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy